Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001712 0.001824 0.001940 0.002069 0.002209 0.002356 0.002523
2025-01-19 0.001534 0.001690 0.001859 0.002054 0.002276 0.002520 0.002810
2025-01-26 0.001368 0.001544 0.001740 0.001975 0.002250 0.002563 0.002949
2025-02-02 0.001314 0.001515 0.001745 0.002027 0.002368 0.002768 0.003279
2025-02-09 0.001263 0.001482 0.001738 0.002061 0.002460 0.002943 0.003577
2025-02-16 0.001247 0.001488 0.001775 0.002146 0.002616 0.003199 0.003989
2025-02-23 0.001192 0.001443 0.001746 0.002144 0.002661 0.003316 0.004226
2025-03-02 0.001116 0.001366 0.001673 0.002082 0.002622 0.003320 0.004310
2025-03-09 0.001057 0.001307 0.001619 0.002041 0.002607 0.003352 0.004430
2025-03-16 0.001019 0.001273 0.001595 0.002037 0.002639 0.003446 0.004640
2025-03-23 0.000976 0.001232 0.001558 0.002013 0.002641 0.003500 0.004792
2025-03-30 0.000944 0.001202 0.001535 0.002005 0.002666 0.003582 0.004990
2025-04-06 0.000896 0.001153 0.001488 0.001969 0.002655 0.003625 0.005148
2025-04-13 0.000859 0.001116 0.001457 0.001953 0.002673 0.003711 0.005378
2025-04-20 0.000804 0.001053 0.001387 0.001878 0.002601 0.003660 0.005391
2025-04-27 0.000795 0.001053 0.001403 0.001927 0.002713 0.003889 0.005861
2025-05-04 0.000781 0.001044 0.001408 0.001959 0.002800 0.004083 0.006290
2025-05-11 0.000782 0.001059 0.001444 0.002038 0.002964 0.004408 0.006959
2025-05-18 0.000760 0.001037 0.001427 0.002037 0.003001 0.004532 0.007295
2025-05-25 0.000722 0.000992 0.001375 0.001979 0.002944 0.004497 0.007349
2025-06-01 0.000692 0.000957 0.001336 0.001940 0.002916 0.004510 0.007486
2025-06-08 0.000674 0.000938 0.001320 0.001936 0.002945 0.004617 0.007804
2025-06-15 0.000651 0.000912 0.001294 0.001913 0.002941 0.004669 0.008021